Track record
Every match in the Premier League, Championship, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A and Ligue 1, graded after the final whistle. Saved before kick-off means the site stored the prediction from the odds it fetched before the match. From closing odds means it was filled in afterwards from the bookmakers' kick-off odds published with the result: no hindsight in the odds, but not saved in advance.
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Predicted winner right, match by match
The running share of matches where the most likely result (home, draw or away) happened. The grey line is what the odds expected: the average chance they gave each pick.
By confidence
Bars: how often the pick won. Grey ticks: what five past seasons say to expect. Numbers under the bars: matches.
Show the numbers
When it said…, it happened…
Every graded yes/no prediction grouped by the chance given. On the grey line means the percentages are right.
Show the numbers
By league
How often the predicted winner was right, and how many matches. White ticks: what the odds expected in that league (some leagues are harder to call).
By market
Log loss measures how good the percentages were (lower is better). "Same rate" gives every match the market's overall frequency; green means the model beat it.
Latest results
Tap a column heading to sort; tap again to reverse.
Waiting for results
Saved before kick-off and graded as soon as the match ends (corners and cards a few days later).
Download the full record (CSV)
Model estimates, not certainties. Team badges from TheSportsDB.